Could we be in for 30 years of global COOLING?

By Daily Mail Reporter

Britain’s big freeze is the start of a worldwide trend towards colder weather that seriously challenges global warming theories, eminent scientists claimed yesterday.

The world has entered a ‘cold mode’ which is likely to bring a global dip in temperatures which will last for 20 to 30 years, they say.

Summers and winters will all be cooler than in recent years, and the changes will mean that global warming will be ‘paused’ or even reversed, it was claimed.
Cyclists ride through the snow in Richmond Park

Big chill: Scientists have claimed that the world has entered a ‘cold mode’ which could last three decades, a theory that challenges climate change

The predictions are based on an analysis of natural cycles in water temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans.

They are the work of respected climate scientists and not those routinely dismissed by environmentalists as ‘global warming deniers’.

Some experts believe these cycles – and not human pollution – can explain all the major changes in world temperatures in the 20th century.

If true, the research challenges the science behind climate change theories, and calls into question the political measures to halt global warming.

According to some scientists, the warming of the Earth since 1900 is due to natural oceanic cycles, and not man-made greenhouse gases.

It occurred because the world was in a ‘warm mode’, and would have happened regardless of mankind’s rising carbon dioxide production.
A graphic explaining about the changes in our climate

And now oceanic cycles have switched to a ‘cold mode’, where data shows that the amount of Arctic summer sea ice has increased by more than a quarter since 2007.

The research has been carried out by eminent climate scientists, including Professor Mojib Latif. He is a leading member of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

He and his colleagues predicted the cooling trend in a 2008 paper, and warned of it again at an IPCC conference in Geneva in September.

Working at the prestigious Leibniz Institute in Kiel University in Germany, he has developed methods for measuring ocean temperatures 3,000ft under the surface, where the cooling and warming cycles start.

For Europe, the crucial factor is the temperature in the middle of the North Atlantic Ocean. He said such ocean cycles – known as multi-decadal oscillations or MDOs – could account for up to half of the rise in global warming in recent years.

Professor Latif said: ‘A significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th century was due to these cycles – as much as 50 per cent.

‘They have now gone into reverse, so winters like this one will become much more likely. All this may well last two decades or longer.

‘The extreme retreats that we have seen in glaciers and sea ice will come to a halt. For the time being, global warming has paused, and there may well be some cooling.’

Many meteorologists have blamed the current freeze on ‘Arctic oscillation’ – a weather pattern in which areas of high pressure have pushed the warming jetstream away from Britain. They have insisted this temporary change will have no effect on long-term warming patterns.

But another expert, Professor Anastasios Tsonis, head of the University of Wisconsin Atmospheric Sciences Group, said MDOs will continue to determine global temperatures.

He said: ‘They amount to massive rearrangements in the dominant patterns of the weather, and their shifts explain all the major changes in world temperatures during the 20th and 21st centuries. We have such a change now.’

Anyone who lives near the sea & then in desert areas can experience first hand just how big an effect a large body of water or desert can have on the ambient temperatures. The sea acts like a giant storage heater in the day time soaking up the suns rays and at night time releases that energy back into the atmosphere effectively moderating large temperature swings. Conversely in the desert, despite it being hotter in the day time the temperature can plummet once the sun goes down. The analogy is like an oil filled electric heater vs a fan heater. The former takes longer to heat up but still gives out heat once turned off but the fan heater stops giving out heat the moment its turned off. The research backing the ocean effect certainly carries more credence and reproducible experimentation than the politicised rubbish that came out of the Climate Research Unit. Perhaps research into these natural cycles can dispel the global warming nutters and put them back in their cages.

– Mike, Alicante, Spain, 13/1/2010 22:45

Global warming is the least of our problems ,We must start and look after our planet in other ways. In a way most governments would cringe at . Every person on this planet needs ,water ,food, a place to live, and we are fast running out of all of them, we are diverting rivers that once ran into the sea, now used to water the over populated earth. Farm land is used to build houses, forests are being cut down for fuel, Our resources are being destroyed, When there is a disaster hurricanes or earth quakes the death tolls keep rising ,because of over population.Towns are being built under volcano’s , because of lack of space. People are living on the coast in places that are prone to sea disasters . The head count must be reduced or the planet will do it for you. Don’t leave it until a loaf of bread cost £50. and a life equals nought.

– ernie, herts uk, 13/1/2010 22:30

Remember folks, until a few weeks ago ZDB probably thought IPCC was only short for the Independent Police Complaints Commission.

He now realizes it is also short for Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

– Martin, Lutterworth, 13/1/2010 16:21

I’ll break the habit eventually …. its fun to see him wriggle out of direct challenges like “what is the scientifically derived maximum number of flights anyone should, on average, take in a year” in response to his assertion that “everyone flies too frequently” !

– TheDailyMale, Wokingham,Berkshire, 13/1/2010 21:13
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Why don’t we find out exactly where Al Gore is buying his next house. If it’s Scotland, then global warming-if it’s Peru, then global cooling. Follow the money and the “warming experts”.
If someone were to tell me San Francisco will never have another earthquake and then moves to NYC, well I would wonder.

– Laurie, NJ, USA, 13/1/2010 20:28
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ZedsDeadBed, providing the names of a few organisations is not the same thing as providing scientific evidence. If you have any then please join the “Open Debate on the “Significant Human-made Global Climate Change” Hypothesis” at the Sustainable Development Commission. There is no restriction on the number of characters so you can put your argument clearly if you have one.

All that you are doing here is repeating political and environmentalist propaganda. It is a fact, acknowledged by the majority of scientists involved, that the processes and drivers of global climates are poorly understood, so much so that it is impossible to reliably predict future climate change. So, let us debate it properly. I repeat my previous comment “It is time for you to put up or shut up”.

Tony M, your response was rather pathetic. If you can’t do better than that then why bother. Try a little harder next time.

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